Alaska Airlines Pilot Demand

These estimates also assume each pilot would make it to mandatory retirement age, and that the current ratio of pilots/aircraft will remain the same. It is important to note, this model assumes none of the aircraft options on the books are exercised. Only aircraft on a delivery schedule are incorporated into the tables. Its also important to note delivery schedules can be delayed and pushed back, as JetBlue has recently done. I hope the following information is helpful.
Each table includes what the estimated fleet number is for the start of the year, and then through scheduled aircraft delivery's and retirements, what the end of year fleet size should be roughly. We can then apply the airlines pilot/aircraft ratio to know how many additional pilots are needed for the airline growth. After this number we can add the number of mandatory retirements and come up with the estimated amount pilots the airline will need for airline growth and Pilot Attrition.
Note: Alaska's fleet numbers are straight from them for the next year however they have a total of 68 firm orders. The Max's were forecast to arrive between 2015 and 2022. The 737 900 ER's were forecast between now and 2017. I had to do some guessing on a reasonable aircraft retirement schedule. The total fleet growth though tracks Boeing's fleet projection fairly closely.